For Harris, Housing Takes Center Stage, but Tenants Are Not the Audience

At least 22 million renter households, a record and nearly half of all renters, are cost-burdened, meaning they put more than 30 percent of their income toward rent. Severely cost-burdened tenant households (those putting 50 percent or more of their paycheck toward rent) are also at record numbers, increasing in rank by 1.5 million since 2019 and now surpassing 12 million households. This should hardly be a surprise, because while median rents have risen 21 percent in inflation-adjusted terms since 2001, median renter household incomes have risen just 2 percent. Landlords bludgeon countless tenants with $100 or more increases every year, and for every $100 increase in average rent, homelessness increases by 9 percent, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

For years, these tenants have been sounding a rallying cry: The rent is too damn high! For a moment, it seemed like the Biden administration was starting to hear them. But as November approaches, the question remains: Is Harris listening, too?

On August 16, Harris released a policy memo that provided a first official look at what her housing response would look like should she become president. The second of her three major housing plans listed in the memo is titled “Lowering the Rent for Hardworking Americans by Taking on Corporate and Major Landlords,” and includes the suggestion that “Vice President Harris and President Biden” will “make sure corporate landlords can’t use taxpayer dollars to unfairly rip off renters.” While this is clearly referencing Biden’s rent cap proposal, the language is much less explicit than her “cap unfair rent increases” line from the month prior.

At best, this change could be seen as an effort to avoid hot-button rhetoric. At worst, it’s an outright snub of the proposal—and seems to imply the Harris campaign believes there is a fair way to rip off renters.

The other proposals she lays out in the memo include going after services like RealPages—a real estate company being sued by the Department of Justice for allegedly helping landlords collude with one another to gouge tenants on prices—and removing tax benefits for predatory real estate investors who buy up homes in bulk. But neither of those policies will actually prevent rent from rising in and of themselves. They just take away some of the many tools landlords have been using to do so. And if the way landlords used the disarray of the pandemic as an opportunity to hike prices through the roof is any indication, they will surely find new and creative ways to raise rents so long as nothing or no one stops them from doing so.

Earlier this month, the Harris campaign finally caved to mounting public pressure to present a vision for the presidency beyond “I’m not Donald Trump.” At long last, an “Issues” tab appeared on her official website. Housing policy features here prominently, appearing second on the list provided, following only Harris’s promise to cut taxes for the middle class. But when it comes to rent caps and tenant protections, the only explanation included is vague at best: “Vice President Harris knows rent is too high and will sign legislation to outlaw new forms of price fixing by corporate landlords.”

At the last debate, Harris referenced, in explicit detail, two of the three policies laid out in her August press release (building 3 million more homes and providing down payment assistance). But the one tenant organizations have actually been advocating for—“lowering the rent”—was the only one that didn’t make the cut, likely because the campaign has no direct plan in place to do it.

In Harris’s home state of California, the campaign behind “Yes on 33,” a referendum on the November ballot that would repeal existing state law in order to allow local governments to pass rent control measures if they so choose, posted an ad on YouTube that included Harris’s promise from the Atlanta rally to cap rents. In the ad, Harris appears heroic, framed as a rent control advocate. For a campaign that at one point claimed to support rent caps, the referendum’s proposal should be uncontroversial: It will not enact rent control outright but rather lift an existing ban on it. But after Politico reached out to the California campaign to ask if Harris had endorsed “Yes on 33,” the ad was taken down, and the rereleased version included the disclaimer: “Use of Kamala Harris’ likeness and words does not imply endorsement.” (“The Harris campaign did not authorize use of footage for this advertisement,” a Harris spokesperson told Politico in a statement.)

Meanwhile, what seems to be atop Harris’s list of housing priorities is how she plans to “build three million more rental units and homes that are affordable to end the national housing supply crisis in her first term.” Her plan includes a first-of-its-kind tax incentive for building homes for first-time homebuyers, a $40 billion investment for local governments to fund new housing projects, and plans to “cut red tape” that slows the process of converting existing buildings into housing. But the question Harris has yet to answer is the most important: affordable for who?

Under the Biden-Harris administration, new housing is already being built and completed at record numbers, according to Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies’ 2024 “State of the Nation’s Housing” report. The report found that “449,900 new multifamily units hit the market in 2023, a 22 percent increase from the previous year and the highest number of completions in more than three decades. Completions will likely remain elevated at least for a time, as 950,000 multifamily units were under construction in March 2024, just shy of the record high of over 1 million units reached in 2023.”

The vast majority of these new units, however, are well out of reach of the tenants most in need of their arrival. The Joint Center found that the median asking price for units completed in the last quarter of 2023 was $1,710: a 19 percent increase since 2014. This monthly sum would cost-burden a household making $68,400 per year, higher than the median income for both Black and Hispanic households, and drain at least half the income of the millions of households making $41,040 per year or less. Meanwhile, between 2012 and 2022, this country lost 6.1 million units that charged less than $1,000 in rent, including over 2 million that were once less than $600. The Joint Center attributed much of this loss to “rent increases among existing units.” If newly builts units are asking for rents that would severely cost-burden the tenants who most need relief, and the units these tenants can afford are being rapidly hiked out of affordability, where, exactly, does this proposal leave them?

The Harris campaign has not yet put forward an answer to this question because, well, they haven’t been forced to. But looking at some of her campaign appearances, there are worrying signs that her policies aren’t even meant to benefit the tenants most vulnerable to her campaign’s new corporate landlord targets. Her language when describing her housing supply policy, which she claims will lower rents, has been inconsistent. At some rallies, she assures audiences that “we will end America’s housing shortage by building 3 million new homes and rentals that are affordable,” while at others, she is more specific and tacks on “that are affordable for the middle class.” It goes without saying that there are plenty of tenants living below what we’d call “the middle class” in need of affordable housing, many of whom will soon be priced out into homelessness in the absence of it.

During the debate, Harris also emphasized that she would “work with the private sector” in order to produce the 3 million homes she wants by the end of her first term. While working with the private sector is one of our system’s more maddening guarantees, there is significant reason to believe that the biggest beneficiaries of her supply policy will be developers, who wind up with the contracts to build and rent out these properties. Since 2019, private-sector landlords are also the ones who have raised rents by 30 percent.

So by all means, let’s rely on them to change their ways.

Unlike her modern general election predecessors, Harris’s campaign is putting housing at the forefront of its mission. But while her repeated lambasting of this crisis and “corporate landlords” is a welcome step in the right direction, her murky solutions indicate she is still not really listening to the tenant class. This could prove a careless mistake, as cost-burdened tenants make up a massive portion of the Democratic Party’s base (and the electorate in general). The number of tenants living in cost-burdened households outnumbers, at a minimum, the sum of registered voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin combined. If Harris took a bolder approach to enact legislation that protects them directly, it would almost certainly be electorally popular in battleground states: 70 percent of swing-state voters, along with 79 percent of Black voters, say they would be more likely to support a candidate who supports rent stabilization.

It’s important to remember, though, that the number of cost-burdened tenants reached its record high under Biden and Harris’s watch, and that policies like rent caps are just the floor of what this housing crisis demands. In the first quarter of 2022, rent increases hit their highest ever, at over 15 percent annually. Even if Harris decides to enact Biden’s proposed 5 percent rent caps, that won’t do a thing to undo those outrageous hikes, which landlords got away with during her tenure as vice president.

Instead, the ceiling of Harris’s plans seems to be minimizing the tenants who could become cost-burdened in the future, rather than repairing harm that has already been done to the tens of millions that population already includes.

There is also of course the risk that the promises the Harris campaign is making turn out to be empty ones. After all, she changed her mind about supporting Medicare for All, changed her mind about an electric vehicle mandate, and changed her mind about decriminalizing border crossings, among others. The promise at her Atlanta rally could very well become another entry in the graveyard of her reneged progressive proclamations.

Ultimately, all of this uncertainty could be solved with a simple, clear statement, along the lines of: “During my first term, I will enact the Biden administration’s proposed legislation to cap annual rent increases at 5 percent” (or ideally, even lower). Yet her quiet avoidance of rent control, or really any direct tenant protections at all, as a candidate means that for all Harris’s increased attention to the housing crisis, she still is not answering the demands of those who have faced the brunt of its havoc.

Tenants will keep making those demands until she does.